Narativ with Zev Shalev

Narativ with Zev Shalev

The Narativ

CIA Analysts Doubted Iran Threat Before Trump Ran

One official called the intelligence "Israeli-derived, not US-generated" — Trump put his cabinet on the decoy anyway.

Zev Shalev's avatar
Zev Shalev
Aug 13, 2026
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Trump, aboard Air Force One, holds a printout of his own post about the plane swap. Photo: AP via ABC News

CIA analysts doubted the Iranian assassination threat before President Trump ran from it — and they told the White House so before he switched planes. The Washington Post reported Wednesday morning that the agency rated the warning "low confidence." One US official described the intelligence as "Israeli-derived, not US-generated, and viewed as low confidence." Agency analysts found the reporting uncompelling and communicated their reservations to Trump administration officials before the president left Turkey.

The Secret Service ran the operation anyway. Trump slipped onto an alternate aircraft departing the NATO summit on July 8 while cabinet members flew home aboard the decoy — the plane the threat had named. The Wall Street Journal published the minute-by-minute account this week; the New York Times ran the manifest showing who sat where.

Lev Parnas called the threat a cover story on Narativ's air Tuesday. Langley's analysts said the same thing before the plane ever left the ground.

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