Trump fell to 29 percent approval in the American Research Group's September survey, the first time that firm has measured him under 30 all year.
ARG polled 1,100 adults from September 16 to September 20. He sat at 30 percent in August. He sat at 37 percent in September of last year. The slide ran a point or two at a time for twelve months, and on Sunday it crossed 30.
Twenty-nine percent.
Reuters and Ipsos, polling a different sample by a different method, put him at 32 percent this week, down from 35 percent a week earlier and the lowest they have ever recorded for him. They had him at 41 percent in July and 33 percent in August. Two houses, two numbers, one direction.
Republicans can read a trend line. "We're gonna get crushed," Republicans told MS NOW privately about November. Trump posted on Truth Social that he will be "the last Republican president" if Senate Republicans refuse to kill the filibuster, because Democrats would then make Washington and Puerto Rico states and never lose again. Narativ reported Sunday that his own party had already started running from him.
He has answered by shutting the door on the people who publish the numbers. CNN, MS NOW and Politico are suing the White House over their access ban. The Washington Post wrote Tuesday that the television networks are denying him the attention he craves. The New York Times called it cancellation.
He can ban CNN from the building. He can't ban the number.
He has to decide things in public this week, in front of everyone, on the biggest stage he owns — and he walks into those rooms weak whichever way he turns.
Richard Nixon once stood on this ground. Gallup counted every step he took.




