Scott MacFarlane came back from Michigan with a measure of this election that no poll prints. He told Narativ Live on Friday to watch "where the surrogates and the money are going," because that is "a much better read than polls ever will be."
Republicans are defending ground Trump won by double digits. Trump has flown to South Carolina twice in two weeks, to Kansas and Iowa, and on Monday, MacFarlane said, he lands in Louisiana, where Sen. Bill Cassidy finished third in May's primary and nobody polls the seat.
Democrats are sending their money the other way. The Democrats' Senate Majority PAC put $1.2 million behind Scott Colom, the district attorney challenging Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith, and the Republicans' Senate Leadership Fund answered with seven figures two days later. MacFarlane called money "a finite resource, especially 72 hours before the polls open," and said that if Democrats are putting it into Mississippi, "they're seeing something polls can't show."