Iran Is The Perfect Trap—And Trump Is Walking Right Into It
How Russia and China engineered the ultimate Middle East quagmire for a cognitively compromised president
Look at the map. Every American military disaster of the past 60 years shares the same geography: Vietnam, Korea, Afghanistan, Iraq. All bordering Russia and China. All ending in decades-long quagmires that drained American resources, credibility, and lives while strengthening our adversaries. Now Iran—the most sophisticated trap yet—sits waiting for a mentally compromised president who can be manipulated into anything that feeds his ego.
The pattern is so obvious it's insulting. Russia and China don't defeat America through direct confrontation. They lure us into unwinnable wars in their backyard, then watch us exhaust ourselves fighting enemies that grow stronger with every bomb we drop. Iran represents the culmination of this strategy: a nation with advanced weapons, mountainous terrain, battle-hardened proxies, and 85 million people who've been preparing for this war for decades.
The Historical Trap Playbook
Vietnam: 20 years, 58,000 American dead, complete strategic failure. We left Saigon in helicopters while China and Russia celebrated.
Korea: 70+ years later, we're still there. North Korea has nuclear weapons. China controls the peninsula's future.
Afghanistan: 20 years, $2.3 trillion, total collapse in 24 hours. The Taliban now controls more territory than when we arrived.
Iraq: 20 years, hundreds of thousands dead, Iran became the dominant regional power. Mission accomplished.
Notice the pattern? Every single conflict strengthened our adversaries while weakening America. Every "quick surgical strike" became a generational commitment. Every "liberation" created more enemies. Every exit strategy became a humiliating retreat.
Iran: The Ultimate Honey Trap
Iran isn't Iraq. This isn't a sanctions-weakened dictatorship with outdated Soviet equipment. Iran has spent 45 years building asymmetric warfare capabilities specifically designed to counter American military advantages. Underground missile factories, hardened nuclear facilities, proxy networks spanning from Lebanon to Yemen, and defensive strategies that turn geography into weaponry.
The Revolutionary Guard has studied every American military intervention since Vietnam. They've built a war machine designed to survive initial strikes and then bleed America for decades through proxy warfare, missile attacks on oil infrastructure, and regional chaos that sends energy prices skyward. They've created the perfect quagmire: too costly to leave, impossible to win.
Here's the brilliant part: Russia is actually opposing the Iran invasion—running information operations to split Trump's MAGA base, deploying assets like Tucker Carlson and Matt Gaetz to lobby against war. They're protecting their Iranian ally while setting up a win-win scenario. If Trump listens to Russia and doesn't attack, Iran stays safe. If Trump follows his ego and attacks anyway, America gets trapped in another Russian-engineered quagmire that destroys American power for decades.
It's the perfect geopolitical checkmate. Russia appears to oppose the war (protecting their ally) while knowing that Trump's ego makes the disastrous choice almost inevitable.
A Compromised Commander-in-Chief Caught Between Masters
The timing reveals the trap's sophistication. Trump's cognitive decline makes him the perfect mark, but he's now caught between competing influences. Russia and Iran are running joint information operations to prevent the war, using their American assets to lobby against military action. Meanwhile, Netanyahu feeds Trump's ego, promising he'll be "saving the world" and probably offering future hotel deals.
Multiple medical experts now publicly state Trump shows "unmistakable signs of dementia," with speech patterns deteriorating into "literal incoherence." This isn't the brash bully that walked on to the political stage in 2015, pushing his opponents aside —this is a cognitively compromised man whose ego will likely override strategic thinking. When presented with a choice between looking weak (listening to Russia) or looking strong (attacking Iran), Trump's narcissism makes the choice predictable.
Netanyahu understands this psychology perfectly. He's betting that Trump's need to appear powerful will overcome any strategic advice from his Russian contacts. The manipulation is elegant: make Trump feel like he's defying Putin by attacking Iran, when actually he's walking into Putin's trap.
White House aides reportedly discuss the 25th Amendment while this man decides whether to launch strikes that could trigger World War III. The guy who can't finish sentences is commanding nuclear codes and making decisions that will define American foreign policy for decades.
Canada Sees The Trap
Every time America enters a Middle East war without Canadian support, we lose. Canada said no to Iraq—we lost. Canada said no to the expanded Afghanistan mission—we lost. Now Canada is saying no to Iran, and our closest ally is essentially telling us: "Eh, we're not morons."
Canadian intelligence sees what American media refuses to acknowledge: this is a trap. A carefully constructed geopolitical honey pot designed to drain American resources while strengthening the Russia-China-Iran axis. The smart money is staying home.
The 20-Year Commitment
Pentagon planners aren't talking about surgical strikes. They're discussing deployments, supply lines, and regional bases. They know what civilian leaders refuse to admit: there's no such thing as a quick war with Iran. Once American forces engage, we're committed to decades of conflict in the world's most volatile region.
Iran has prepared for this moment since 1979. They've built a war machine specifically designed to survive initial strikes and then bleed America through sustained asymmetric warfare. They've studied our weaknesses, positioned their assets, and created the perfect strategic nightmare for American forces.
Russia and China are waiting. They've engineered the ultimate trap for American power: a war we can't win, can't afford, and can't escape. And they've found the perfect mark to spring it—a cognitively compromised president who mistakes manipulation for respect.
Iran isn't a threat to be eliminated. It's a trap to be avoided. Too bad nobody told the dementia patient with the nuclear codes.
Very well analysed, Zev. As a trap, it is extraordinarily elegant. It's true that China plays the long game. Russia and China are not always totally lined up. Yet they both aim to grow their opportunities, so to speak. And India under Modi is looking for options. Canada will stay out when the USA goes into Iran. It is sad. Persian culture, Iranian people, the very lands will suffer.
I served as an army officer in the debacle known as the American war in Vietnam. Unwinnable at so many levels with US ego being the overriding factor. I have been on the ground many times in Lao and Vietnam since the war. So many actions by the US that are morally questionable.
I have also been on the ground in Iran. Given that the US has not won a war in my life time and has learnt absolutely nothing at each outing, there is no doubt in my experience that they will get flogged again.
The US leadership does not have the brains, ability or war machinery that can defeat Iran in Iran. So, yet again they will struggle to even come second.